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Used Car Prices are dropping: What That Means for Car Buyers

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Used Car Prices are dropping: What That Means for Car Buyers
Used-car prices took a big fall in December, however purchasing a vehicle now could remain prohibitive for certain buyers.
By Whitney Vandiver Writer | Car ownership, maintenance of cars Whitney Vandiver writes for NerdWallet about how car owners can save money on ownership as well as maintenance. She has previously written for the oil and gas industry, which led to her being recognized in national newspapers and international magazines. Whitney began writing out of enjoyment and finds stories that highlight or aid people in the LGBTQ+ community the most satisfying to write. When she's not writing, she's reading and walking with her Irish Wolfhound. She is based in Houston.





Feb 1, 2023


The article is edited by Julie Myhre-Nunes., Assistant Assigning Editor Auto loans, consumer credit Julie Myhre-Nunes works as an assistant assigning editor at NerdWallet. She has been working in the field of personal finance for more than 10 years. Before being hired by NerdWallet, Julie oversaw editorial teams at NextAdvisor, Red Ventures and Quote.com. Personal finance insights from Julie have been highlighted on Forbes, The Boston Globe and CNBC throughout the years. Julie's articles have been published in USA Today, Business Insider and Wired Insights, among others. Email: .










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Following more than one year of soaring prices the used car market was cooled by several temperatures in December.
The new trend offers some relief to car buyers. However, inventories aren't yet be at levels that are comparable to pre-pandemic, and consumers haven't yet regained the buying power they had in 2019.
While experts say the used car market in this year's forecast will continue to improve the consumers must be realistic about what buying a car will look like in 2023.
December saw a record decline in used car prices
According to a report published in January 2023 by CoPilot which is a personal app to help you buy a car, used-car prices dropped in December for the sixth time in a row month, dropping 8.8 percent from January 2022. To give some perspective this drop was the highest annual decline that the used car segment has seen since the end during the Great Recession in June 2009.
But they've still have a ways to go before buyers are in a familiar space -- the average used-car price was 30.1 percent more than a normal market price.
Markets are seeing "more of a gradual return to normalcy than is typically a decline," says Joseph Yoon, consumer insights analyst at Edmunds, an online car guide. "The prices are very high, extremely, and very overvalued."
The current interest rates are a barrier to used car accessibility
One factor that has influenced the prices of used cars has been the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes in response to inflation rising.
According to Edmunds the average interest rate for a used-car loan was up from 8.76 percent in July to 10.25 percent in December. As loan rates become more expensive those who finance car purchases will pay higher fees vehicle, despite lower prices on the sticker.
What does this mean for car buyers
Consumers planning to buy a used car this year may be pleased to see lower costs for windshields but will still find they need to navigate an overcrowded car market. Prospective buyers need to anticipate various trends when looking for a second-hand car this year.
Lower prices than 2022
If the demand for used cars decreases, prices will continue to drop. As per J.P. Morgan Research, prices for used vehicles could decrease by 10% to 20% in 2023. If you believe that the Fed continues to increase rates of interest, the cost of vehicles will likely keep their downward trend.
However, not all cars will drop in price at the same pace. Compact cars and pickups have seen the least changes in prices from January 2022 as per Cox Automotive, an auto data firm -- while high-end vehicles and SUVs have experienced the most drastic price reductions.
The continuation of a cost that is higher than normal
As used-car prices drop making it more attractive to potential buyers the increase in interest rates means that consumers who need to finance their purchases will likely continue to feel the pressures of an overpriced market.
Buyers of cars who take advantage of falling prices and make finance purchases in the midst of higher interest rates might pay more for their car for the duration of the loan. In addition to a higher monthly payment, they could have negative equity at the end of the tunnel, finding themselves .
Fluctuating trade-in values
According to J.D. Power which is a research and data firm the trade-in of vehicles in December were able to receive an average value of just $786 in value when they were that were traded in June. Because dealerships anticipate earning less on used-car sales and trade-in value are expected to continue to decline compared to the previous year.
Car owners looking to trade in their current cars should be prepared for lower prices than those last year.
"It's going to be a significant reduction of what you'll receive from the value of your trade-in if you were looking for a car in September," claims Terrance Gandy, the used-car sales manager at Route 44 Toyota in Raynham, Massachusetts.
Inventory levels have increased, but remain relatively low. levels
As automakers work towards the production levels of pre-pandemics and used vehicles are getting more affordable, the consumer need for cars is expected to be high due to the shortage of vehicles in previous years, according to J.D. Power. This could reduce the available inventory of used cars as more car buyers decide to purchase cars after waiting out used-car prices, which peaked in September.
"Even if prices do come down," says Yoon, "for the next few years we'll still be a million of vehicles short on used cars."
However, it will let certain consumers be in a stronger position when it comes to bargaining offers for trade-ins.
"They have a greater chance of getting a deal right now since dealers need to take these automobiles off their showrooms," says Gandy. "The ball is kind of in your court if you are able to trade in your car since dealers are in need of your car."


About the writer: Whitney Vandiver is a writer at NerdWallet which is currently focusing on car ownership and maintenance. She's previously written about small business and payments.







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